Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 1 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 1 May 2026 and the low 0.4% on 1 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 24.5% on 2 May 2026. $1.6K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 4:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 1 May 2026 – 1 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | 49.5% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Olka | Yes | 62.64 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| woo12 | Yes | 49.9 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-bitcoin-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-may-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Fodenn | Yes | 12 |
| Kronosssss | Yes | 11 |
| Juliauss | Yes | 11 |
| Gaile | Yes | 10 |
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
