
Resolved Yes on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 38% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 7 Dec 2025, the highest close was 100% on 7 Dec 2025 and the lowest 12% on 6 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 88 points up, to 100% on 7 Dec 2025. $391.26 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 7 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 38.0% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 75.58 |
| triklozoid | No | 14.98 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 12 |
| masXAS | No | 2.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the index that performs best for the week beginning December 1, among the Warren Buffett Index, the Bill Ackman Index, and the S&P 500. The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week. The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner. The resolution source for the Warren Buffett Index ("Buffett") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559450392165007360 Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period. The resolution source for the Bill Ackman Index ("Ackman") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559452008356167680 Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period. The resolution source for S&P 500 ("SPX") is: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices Information from the "Historical Prices" table will be used to resolve this market, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return calculated as the percentage change between the closing price for the final trading day of the specified week and the closing price for the corresponding day of the previous week (e.g. if the final trading day of the specified week is a Thursday, the closing price of the previous Thursday will be used to calculate the 1-week trailing percentage return). Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If all indices perform exactly the same over that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve to “Other”. If either of the relevant trading days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published for each relevant index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If any of the relevant days lack a specified price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), this market will use the last valid historical price offered by the specified resolution sources as the effective closing price for that day. Updates to historical prices displayed by any of the indices subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are later updated.
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