Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after November 2025 meeting?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 6, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$5.6K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 6, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 6 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 7% on 2 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2025 to 6 Nov 2025, the highest close was 7.4% on 6 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Nov 2025. $5.57K traded over the market's life.

28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 12:31 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 2 Oct 2025 – 6 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
2 Oct 2025	7.0%
6 Nov 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.06K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	765
Crimson Falcon C79A	Yes	449.24
Bright Signal 14DE	Yes	253

10 of 28 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the Selic rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Central Bank of Brazil's November 2025 meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its November 4-5, 2025 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/detalhenoticia/20184/nota This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their November meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.