Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 15 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 77 daily closes on record from 15 Nov 2025 to 29 Jan 2026, the highest close was 67.5% on 5 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 47.5% on 6 Dec 2025. $89.14K traded over the market's life.
119 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 30, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 15 Nov 2025 – 29 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 | 47.5% |
| 29 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 34.97K |
| lucarie | Yes | 5.68K |
| Remorseful-Probe | Yes | 4.29K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the Selic rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Central Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its January 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for January 26-27, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bank-of-brazil-decision-in-january
| Yes |
| 1.53K |
| eaefba | Yes | 1.2K |
| bernltd | Yes | 1.06K |
| oraculodedelfos | Yes | 1.01K |
| tonholo | Yes | 985 |
| Dutiful-Slider | Yes | 877.34 |
| Handy-Sound | Yes | 797 |
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