Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.3% on 16 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2025 to 22 Dec 2025, the price held at 0.3%. $98.21K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 16 Dec 2025 – 22 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 | 0.3% |
| 22 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 276.49K |
| bamesjond | Yes | 209.98K |
| JaidenAnimations | Yes | 11.07K |
| horatio | Yes | 10.13K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On December 14, a donation campaign was started for an Australian man who tackled one of the Bondi Beach attackers (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2000333304864874509) This market will resolve according to the amount of money the Bondi Beach Hero's GoFundMe campaign (https://www.gofundme.com/f/zbcjn-support-the-hero-who-disarmed-a-bondi-attacker) raises by December 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from the relevant GoFundMe page. If the campaign ends or otherwise becomes permanently unavailable before resolution time, this market will resolve according to the last number published prior.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-much-will-the-australian-hero-donation-campaign-raise-by-dec-16
| pivBiv | Yes | 2.7K |
| 1KingHrm | Yes | 2K |
| NoierT | Yes | 2K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.73K |
| valli- | Yes | 1.1K |
| aykak | Yes | 1K |
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