Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 21% on 16 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2025 to 17 Dec 2025, the highest close was 21% on 16 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 0.1% on 17 Dec 2025. $28.89K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 16 Dec 2025 – 17 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 | 21.0% |
| 17 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 276.49K |
| bamesjond | Yes | 220.75K |
| JaidenAnimations | Yes | 11.07K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On December 14, a donation campaign was started for an Australian man who tackled one of the Bondi Beach attackers (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2000333304864874509) This market will resolve according to the amount of money the Bondi Beach Hero's GoFundMe campaign (https://www.gofundme.com/f/zbcjn-support-the-hero-who-disarmed-a-bondi-attacker) raises by December 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from the relevant GoFundMe page. If the campaign ends or otherwise becomes permanently unavailable before resolution time, this market will resolve according to the last number published prior.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-much-will-the-australian-hero-donation-campaign-raise-by-dec-16
| Yes |
| 3.03K |
| Elated-Enclosure | Yes | 1.81K |
| Defenseless-Mission | Yes | 208.33 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 149.99 |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 124.45 |
| FreeCityIndividual | Yes | 100 |
| 9735 | Yes | 100 |
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