Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 45%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 18 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2026 to 27 Apr 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 93% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 19 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 53.5% on 24 Mar 2026. $5.66K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 18 Mar 2026 – 27 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2026 | 51.5% |
| 27 Apr 2026 | 45.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Swift Orbit C57F | No | 117.62 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Audemars Piguet price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Audemars Piguet Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution. This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”. This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Audemars Piguet chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Audemars Piguet chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-audemars-piguet-prices-hit-by-april-30
| No |
| 15 |
| TerranSupremacy | No | 14.99 |
| PPMT | No | 10 |
| wwder | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Coral Beacon 7E5B | No | 3.37 |
| hitfar | Yes | 0.03 |
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