
Resolved Yes on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 84.5%. Yes opened at 88.5% on 25 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, the highest close was 89.5% on 31 Oct 2024 and the lowest 84% on 5 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 84% on 5 Nov 2024. $7.09K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 4:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 25 Oct 2024 – 6 Nov 2024, chart shows 80%–92%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2024 | 88.5% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 84.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MonkzNuts | No | 235.29 |
| Negative-Uniform | Yes | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election by November 9, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/election-called-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page