Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 64%. Yes opened at 45% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 45% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 35% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 35.5% on 5 Mar 2026.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 30%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 45.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 36.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| Bananaboat1903 | Yes | 61.2 |
| tiancs | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 is scheduled for March 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by announcers or color commentators during of the scheduled broadcast of Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 on Paramount+. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the events of Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, beginning from the start of the first round and ending once the referee has definitively decided the winner. Commentary before the fight begins will not be considered. If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such stream is aired by March 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the official Paramount+ broadcast of this event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mentions-holloway-vs-oliveira-2
| JackGriffin123 | Yes | 42.68 |
| CaseyJane | Yes | 22.22 |
| Married-Noir | Yes | 2.5 |
| rx8549o867549 | Yes | 0.03 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
