Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big East conference?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 7, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$41.2K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 7, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 7 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 87.1%. Yes opened at 49% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 2 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 2.5% on 17 Mar 2026. $41.24K traded over the market's life.

24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 8, 3:24 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 2 Apr 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
11 Mar 2026	49.0%
2 Apr 2026	13.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
synnet	Yes	5.06K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.17K
TENETENET	Yes	500

10 of 24 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the Division I conference of the men’s basketball 2026 Division 1 NCAA Tournament champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for any team from the listed conference to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament championship game per the rules of the NCAA (e.g., team is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the conference whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a national champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.