
Resolved No on 30 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 30 Mar 2026, the highest close was 49% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 0.1% on 30 Mar 2026. $5.98K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 11:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 30 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 49.0% |
| 30 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.17K |
| booftroop | Yes | 300 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 202.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the Division I conference of the men’s basketball 2026 Division 1 NCAA Tournament champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for any team from the listed conference to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament championship game per the rules of the NCAA (e.g., team is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the conference whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a national champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-tournament-national-champion-conference
| Yes |
| 55 |
| Scornful-Conductor | Yes | 40.23 |
| Neon Scout D064 | Yes | 19.93 |
| Cylindrical-Stylus | Yes | 11.08 |
| pd.unique | Yes | 10 |
| hotpato | Yes | 5 |
| Amber Horizon 6EB5 | No | 0.03 |
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