Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.9%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 9 Jan 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 30 Dec 2025 and the lowest 5.1% on 4 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 5.1% on 4 Jan 2026. $63.94K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 9, 8:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 9 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 47.5% |
| 9 Jan 2026 | 25.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 924.86 |
| ttj01 | Yes | 500 |
| NoMoreMister | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the total number of viewers Nielsen reports the 2025-2026 edition of Dick Clark’s New Year's Rockin’ Eve with Ryan Seacrest as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the 2025-2026 edition of Dick Clark’s New Year's Rockin’ Eve with Ryan Seacrest may also be used. If Dick Clark’s New Year's Rockin’ Eve with Ryan Seacrest takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the show within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-years-rockin-eve-of-viewers
| Yes |
| 149.99 |
| t189 | Yes | 100 |
| ChanceToProfit | Yes | 100 |
| VictoriaWatson4507 | Yes | 58 |
| AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes | 50 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 15 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
