
Resolved No on 9 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87.5%. Yes opened at 44% on 26 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 138 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2025 to 9 Jan 2026, the highest close was 67.5% on 5 Nov 2025 and the lowest 9.5% on 5 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 29% on 9 Dec 2025. $4.92K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 7:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 138 points, 26 Aug 2025 – 9 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2025 | 44.0% |
| 9 Jan 2026 | 12.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.77K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| chobanilounge | Yes | 300 |
This is a polymarket to predict which conference the team that wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship will be from. If a team from the listed conference wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the College Football Playoff is canceled or not completed by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA Football.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/college-football-champion-winning-conference
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 263.36 |
| yzhaobk | Yes | 195.65 |
| intheshadowside | Yes | 90.92 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 59.5 |
| CosmicCedar | Yes | 35 |
| Cruel-Vegetarianism | Yes | 22.44 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.