Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 13% on 26 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 149 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2025 to 20 Jan 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 18 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 9 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 49.5% on 27 Sep 2025. $15.44K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 149 points, 26 Aug 2025 – 20 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2025 | 13.0% |
| 20 Jan 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.77K |
| GUADANHAO | Yes | 2K |
| bouse | Yes | 623.06 |
This is a polymarket to predict which conference the team that wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship will be from. If a team from the listed conference wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the College Football Playoff is canceled or not completed by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA Football.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/college-football-champion-winning-conference
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| TraderBackwards | Yes | 447.59 |
| chobanilounge | Yes | 404.85 |
| Jade Summit ED9F | Yes | 265 |
| ttj01 | Yes | 250 |
| fentandtranq | Yes | 226.86 |
| Amber Tide 1F64 | Yes | 195 |
| Coral Sphinx 9DCF | Yes | 182 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
