Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.4% and 4.5% on April 11?

Resolved

Yes, settled Apr 12, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$10.7K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Apr 12, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 12 Apr 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 10 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 10 Apr 2025 to 12 Apr 2025, the highest close was 100% on 12 Apr 2025 and the lowest 20.5% on 10 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 68 points up, to 100% on 12 Apr 2025. $10.75K traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 12:26 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 10 Apr 2025 – 12 Apr 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
10 Apr 2025	20.5%
12 Apr 2025	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.02K
Silver Orbit D9E8	No	1K
Ivory Horizon FE8A	No	730
Cosmic Comet 3CBE	No	390

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to according to the Treasury 10-year yield on on April 11, 2025 according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).