Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 1.1% on 10 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Apr 2025 to 11 Apr 2025, the highest close was 1.1% on 10 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 11 Apr 2025. $20.85K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Apr 2025 – 11 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Apr 2025 | 1.1% |
| 11 Apr 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.02K |
| split | No | 0.02 |
| JDULIA | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to according to the Treasury 10-year yield on on April 11, 2025 according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/10-year-treasury-yield-on-friday
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