Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 9 and 12 million views this week?

cultureResolved

No, settled Oct 13, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$386

Resolved

Settled

Oct 13, 2026 UTC

Topic roomMovies, TV and music

Where it stands

Resolved No on 13 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 55.5% on 9 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2026 to 13 Oct 2026, the highest close was 55.5% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 13 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 0.5% on 11 Oct 2026. $385.51 traded over the market's life.

12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 6:01 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 13 Oct 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	373.35
RiskyWager	Yes	66.91
Crimson Summit 6D33	Yes	66.82
.Menthe	Yes	49.99

10 of 12 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve according to the views figure of the show that this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show, according to Netflix. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If the reported views figure falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used to determine the final figure.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-views-will-the-1-show-on-netflix-have-this-week-negrisk-20261013

Dates

Event starts

Oct 8, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Oct 13, 2026 UTC