Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 18% on 9 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2026 to 13 Oct 2026, the highest close was 99.6% on 13 Oct 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 10 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 63 points up, to 81.5% on 12 Oct 2026. $1.38K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 6:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 13 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 18.0% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 226.23 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 79.99 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| dlo23378 | No | 41.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve according to the views figure of the movie that this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie, according to Netflix. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If the reported views figure falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used to determine the final figure.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-views-will-the-1-movie-on-netflix-have-this-week-negrisk-20261013
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | 20 |
| a5533 | No | 20 |
| Mrpike | No | 14.29 |
| bjprolo | No | 10 |
| aschenbrenner | No | 10 |
| triklozoid | No | 10 |
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