Will Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by Dec 31?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$72.0K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 9% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 9% on 10 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Jan 2026. $72.02K traded over the market's life.

36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 4:30 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
10 Dec 2025	9.0%
1 Jan 2026	0.2%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	440
xyusdc	Yes	304.32
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	277
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	164

10 of 36 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand announces it has attained, or otherwise attains control of the Preah Vihear temple complex in Cambodia (https://maps.app.goo.gl/rCd3ghfaZxQdPW7MA) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Thailand announces it has control of the temple complex, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of contradictory reporting. If Thailand comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution. Once Thailand captures the temple, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements made by Thailand and Cambodia, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.