Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87.1%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 1 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 1 Nov 2025 and the low 6% on 15 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 12% on 3 Nov 2025. $25.79K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 5, 4:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 151 points, 1 Nov 2025 – 2 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | 49.5% |
| 2 Apr 2026 | 12.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.1K |
| Neon Scout D064 | Yes | 124.97 |
| paspor | Yes | 106.98 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-womens-ncaa-tournament-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 64.54 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 55.97 |
| Wasteland. | Yes | 55 |
| Golden Scout B6F3 | Yes | 46.18 |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 39.86 |
| Azure Beacon B2A8 | Yes | 37.5 |
| jonnyblaze | Yes | 35.66 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
