
Resolved No on 11 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81%. Yes opened at 30% on 21 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 21 Dec 2024 to 11 Jan 2025, the highest close was 41.5% on 2 Jan 2025 and the lowest 19% on 11 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 22% on 10 Jan 2025. $17.64K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 3:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 21 Dec 2024 – 11 Jan 2025, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2024 | 30.0% |
| 11 Jan 2025 | 19.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ballgina | Yes | 31.82 |
| letniki | Yes | 0.08 |
| daniel57 | No | 0.03 |
| davisanthony | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on which college football teams will qualify for the CFP Championship game.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-make-the-cfp-championship
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| debrastanton | Yes | 0.02 |
| andrea53 | No | 0.02 |
| Grisnatch | Yes | 0.01 |