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Resolved No on 29 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 64% on 23 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 64% on 23 Jan 2026 and the low 0.5% on 29 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 61 points down, to 0.5% on 29 Jan 2026. $757.44 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 30, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 23 Jan 2026 – 29 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | 64.0% |
| 29 Jan 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
| tiancs | Yes | 50 |
| zamochyt | Yes | 50 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 49.99 |
| Amidigital | Yes | 49.68 |
| Close-Author | Yes | 16.67 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| duoyou | Yes | 13.94 |
| hesure | Yes | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on January 28, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-tesla-say-during-their-next-earnings-call
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