Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 4.8% on 1 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2025 to 2 Jul 2025, the highest close was 4.8% on 1 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 2 Jul 2025. $27.88K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 4:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 1 Jul 2025 – 2 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | 4.8% |
| 2 Jul 2025 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 19.78K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 66.98 |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 0.02 |
| arka.parka.leto | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total deliveries for Q2, 2025. If Tesla’s does not publish deliveries for, Q2 2025 by August 5, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tesla-deliveries-this-quarter-676
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