Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.5%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 20 Sep 2023. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2023 to 20 Oct 2023, the highest close was 50% on 23 Sep 2023 and the lowest 7.5% on 4 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 50% on 9 Oct 2023. $141.34 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 20 Sep 2023 – 20 Oct 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2023 | 9.5% |
| 20 Oct 2023 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| vw8 | Yes | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla, Inc. or a high-ranking Tesla executive (CEO, CFO, COO, or a Vice President) officially confirms that there was a delivery of a Cybertruck between July 1, 2023, and September 30, 2023. Confirmation must come in the form of an official statement, press release, or a public announcement by the aforementioned officials. Verified news reports citing these specific sources will also be considered. Such a confirmation, report, or announcement must be released prior to October 19, 2023, 12:00 PM ET. Delivery refers to the Cybertruck being handed over to a customer, whether it is an individual or a business. This market is based solely on confirmed deliveries, and not on orders or production numbers. If Tesla confirms a Cybertruck delivery before the end of Q3 2023, the market will resolve immediately to "Yes". If Tesla confirms that no Cybertruck will be delivered in Q3 2023 before the end of the quarter, the market will resolve immediately to "No". If no confirmation or denial is provided by Tesla as of the expiry date, the market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-tesla-deliver-a-cybertruck-in-q3
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