Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 12 Dec 2025, the highest close was 21.5% on 10 Dec 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 12 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 4.5% on 11 Dec 2025. $1.56K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 13, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 12 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 21.5% |
| 12 Dec 2025 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hilarious-Tarragon | Yes | 215.59 |
| Obscurd | Yes | 25 |
| EdvonSchleck | Yes | 16.76 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Taylor Swift is scheduled to appear on the December 10 broadcast of The Late Show With Stephen Colbert: https://www.usatoday.com/story/entertainment/music/2025/12/08/taylor-swift-colbert-late-show-how-to-watch-eras-tour-documentary/87671841007/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift says the listed term at any point during this episode. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded videos are aired where Taylor Swift is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count towards this market's resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If this appearance is definitively cancelled by Taylor Swift or CBS, or otherwise is not released by December 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-taylor-swift-say-on-the-late-show-on-december-10
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 12 |
| Frayed-Mechanic | Yes | 4.69 |
| vixhwesh | Yes | 1.82 |
| Sweltering-Phrase | Yes | 1.54 |
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