Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.3%. Yes opened at 47% on 12 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 12 Sep 2025 to 3 Oct 2025, the highest close was 99.8% on 2 Oct 2025 and the lowest 5.5% on 28 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 54 points up, to 95% on 30 Sep 2025. $193.25K traded over the market's life.
112 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 8:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 12 Sep 2025 – 3 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2025 | 47.0% |
| 3 Oct 2025 | 99.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| whackshon | No | 10K |
| nostradamusini | No | 5.88K |
| Purpleface | No | 5.57K |
| Jinm | No | 4.34K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Taylor Swift’s 12th studio album, The Life of a Showgirl, is scheduled for release on October 3, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Swift officially releases a new song between September 11 and October 2, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases/remasters, remixes, acoustic versions, and re-recordings of previously released songs will not count; only new songs, officially released by Taylor Swift under her name, will qualify toward this market's resolution. Taylor Swift featuring on another artist's song will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g., Apple Music or Spotify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-taylor-swift-release-a-new-original-song-by-october-2
| Arveus | No | 3.7K |
| ProfessorWiggle | No | 3.55K |
| Darthv | No | 2.06K |
| thismoment2030 | No | 1.87K |
| MagyarWhale69 | No | 1.74K |
| Chetia | No | 1.67K |
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