Analytics
Resolved No on 25 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 47% on 22 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 22 May 2026 to 25 May 2026, the highest close was 47% on 22 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 5.5% on 23 May 2026. $276.95 traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 25, 8:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 22 May 2026 – 25 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 47.0% |
| 25 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.54K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 100 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the first Final Classification published by IndyCar following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the first Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only IndyCar’s published classification will be used to resolve this market. If a driver withdraws, or does not participate for any reason, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Indianapolis 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date after June 7, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source will be the official IndyCar website; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-indianapolis-500-winner
| 2738930bskso | Yes | 21.84 |
| Juliauss | Yes | 13 |
| Gaile | Yes | 12 |
| Fodenn | Yes | 11 |
| Kronosssss | Yes | 10 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 10 |
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