Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 3 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2026 to 27 Jul 2026, the highest close was 100% on 27 Jul 2026 and the lowest 43.5% on 3 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 75.5% on 4 Jul 2026. $439.65K traded over the market's life.
99 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 27, 7:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 27 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 43.5% |
| 27 Jul 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 61.01K |
| Tepid-Interject | No | 34.19K |
| Impassioned-Body | No | 29K |
| Outlandish-Drummer | No | 10.08K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the cyclist that wins the 2026 Tour De France scheduled for July 4, 2026 through July 26, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed cyclist to win the 2026 Men Elite at the Tour De France per the rules of the UCI, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UCI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tour-de-france-2026-winner-20260702201214011
New to prediction markets?
| XYZ7676 | No | 9.42K |
| traderCough | No | 4K |
| KellySharpe | No | 3K |
| kopeikin1848 | No | 2.95K |
| KasperL | No | 2.79K |
| cowcat | No | 2.5K |
