Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 16 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 31.5% on 25 Jun 2026 and the low 20.5% on 5 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 20.5% on 5 Jul 2026. $248.98K traded over the market's life.
144 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 9, 10:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 23 points · 16 Jun 2026 – 8 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jun 2026 | 25.5% |
| 8 Jul 2026 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 59.02K |
| saintaphextwin | Yes | 51.49K |
| kgyw | Yes | 20K |
| bullishkirby | Yes | 12.09K |
| blgmsiwin | Yes | 10K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 5.3K |
| Anie4567 | Yes | 2.94K |
| sdasd231232 | Yes | 2.36K |
| SoloXIA | Yes | 2.13K |
| Gengfrauds | Yes | 2.1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the team winning 1st place at the 2026 Mid-Season Invitational (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/msi-2026-winner-20260615160657983
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