Will T1 Qualify to the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage

Resolved

Yes, settled Jul 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$20.6K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 1 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95%. Yes opened at 69% on 19 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 19 Jun 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 95% on 1 Jul 2026 and the lowest 69% on 19 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 90.5% on 20 Jun 2026. $20.65K traded over the market's life.

17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 3:33 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 19 Jun 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 60%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Jun 2026	69.0%
1 Jul 2026	95.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.25K
georgemaster	No	300
products	No	181
PPMT	No	55.56

10 of 17 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The MSI 2026 is scheduled to take place from June 28 to July 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to which team qualifies to the MSI Knockout Stage from the MSI Play-in. Ties in standings will be broken according to the official LoL Esports rules. If MSI 2026 is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or if the official list of MSI 2026 Knockout Stage participants is not published before July 26, 2026, 11:59 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.