Will T1 Outperform BLG at MSI 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 10, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.8K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 10, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 10 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 10 Jul 2026, the highest close was 71.5% on 4 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 57 points down, to 0.1% on 9 Jul 2026. $4.78K traded over the market's life.

6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 11:10 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 10 Jul 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Jun 2026	50.0%
10 Jul 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
chickenpenguin	Yes	366.01
woshibubu	Yes	169.86
amame	Yes	50
.Menthe	Yes	50

6 of 6 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if T1 place higher than Bilibili Gaming(BLG) at MSI 2026, currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. Play-in matches will count for the purposes of this market. If there is a tie, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of MSI 2026 are not determined by July 26, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.

Resolution source: https://lolesports.com/en-GB/tournament/115570934354631452/stage/115570934355090206