Analytics
Yes is at 96.4%, up 72 points from 24% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 40 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.2% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 24% on 10 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 94.7%; a month before, 77.5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 49% on 11 Sep 2026.
Switzerland is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group B1 Winner”, ahead of Slovenia at 1.4%.
$5.01 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $13.57K since listing. The order book holds $201.15, with a 1.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 208 trades, $5.42K bought Yes and $420.89 bought No; the largest was a $2.23K buy of Yes at 94.0¢.
The largest Yes position is ndb1 with 2.1K shares; the largest No position is CloudCactus with 782. Ten wallets hold 88.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Dec 2026, 36 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 9:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 24.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 96.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ndb1 | Yes | 2.13K |
| CloudCactus | No | 782.37 |
| MaciBetting23 | Yes | 735.87 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group B1 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-2026-27-group-b1-winner
| Dr.PNL |
| No |
| 513.39 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 483.63 |
| Rentabar | No | 374.99 |
| extractive-manatee | No | 280.6 |
| sweetj | Yes | 213 |
| Hilarious-Paddle | No | 204.08 |
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | Yes | 134 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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