Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jan 6, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$58.5K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 6, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 6 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 53.5%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 28 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2025 to 6 Jan 2026, the highest close was 53.5% on 6 Jan 2026 and the lowest 10% on 29 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 53.5% on 6 Jan 2026. $58.5K traded over the market's life.

37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 8:32 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 6 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Dec 2025	14.5%
6 Jan 2026	53.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	11.86K
Nicksypoo	No	1.93K
Tobias1909	No	541.09
TENETENET	No	500

10 of 37 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship hockey tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship per the rules of the tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the knockout stages), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IIHF World Junior Championship tournament organizers (https://www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm20); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.