Analytics
Yes is at 72%, up 47 points from 25% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
The high was 79.5% on 9 Oct 2026 and the low 25% on 10 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 71.5%; a month ago, 38.5%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 50% on 3 Oct 2026.
Sweden is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group B4 Winner”, ahead of Bosnia and Herzegovina at 27%.
$22.94K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.27K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 184 trades, $3.83K bought Yes and $2.22K bought No; the largest was a $1.74K buy of Yes at 42.0¢.
The largest Yes position is StudyPrediction with 4K shares; the largest No position is TypeShi with 2.9K. Ten wallets hold 89.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Dec 2026, 43 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 20, 9:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 25.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 72.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| StudyPrediction | Yes | 4K |
| TypeShi | No | 2.93K |
| JustADonk | No | 2.55K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group B4 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-2026-27-group-b4-winner
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete |
| Yes |
| 2.34K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.12K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 927.98 |
| peti1234 | Yes | 322.18 |
| MaciBetting23 | Yes | 292 |
| saulgoedman | No | 220.02 |
| funplayer- | No | 200 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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