Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.7%. Yes opened at 69% on 5 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 89 daily closes on record from 5 Oct 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 82.5% on 24 Oct 2023 and the lowest 2.4% on 22 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 82.5% on 24 Oct 2023. $16.31K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 7:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 5 Oct 2023 – 1 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2023 | 69.0% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 3.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Filip | Yes | 254.84 |
| Candyman1893 | Yes | 27.27 |
| Alien-287 | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group over by which date Sweden will have joined NATO.
Resolution source: https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-sweden-join-nato-by
| Yes |
| 0.63 |
| Emm | No | 0.03 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
