Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 5 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2025 to 13 Sep 2025, the highest close was 62.5% on 9 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 0.1% on 13 Sep 2025. $12.9K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 14, 8:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 5 Sep 2025 – 13 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2025 | 25.5% |
| 13 Sep 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.62K |
| qqwet | Yes | 53 |
| Anjun | Yes | 32.25 |
| 87ytfd | Yes | 1.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Justin Bieber's new album 'Swag II' is scheduled to be released on September 4, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Bieber's new album 'Swag II' has less than 75,000 in sales for the chart date of 'Swag II' debut week, on the finalized version of hitsdailydouble.com's "HITS TOP 50" list. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to the figure in the column titled "Activity" once the named list is finalized. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming. If the chart specified herein is rendered permanently unavailable or does not list 'Swag II', another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/swag-ii-first-week-album-sales
| hgdfdgdrg | Yes | 1.54 |
| qwdb | Yes | 1.52 |
| ytre5r | Yes | 1.06 |
| yattt | Yes | 0.02 |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 0.02 |
| feedrr | No | 0.02 |
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