Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 29% on 10 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 29% on 10 Apr 2025 and the low 0.1% on 2 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 5% on 11 Apr 2025. $23.76K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 23 points · 10 Apr 2025 – 2 May 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Apr 2025 | 29.0% |
| 2 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 66.1K |
| PennyStacker | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration. If none of the listed individuals leave by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-leave-trump-administration-first
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
