Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 7% on 16 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 74 daily closes on record from 16 Feb 2025 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 7% on 16 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Apr 2025. $22.2K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 30, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 16 Feb 2025 – 30 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2025 | 7.0% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| deepolitics | Yes | 71.43 |
| jayneyolk | Yes | 28 |
| FabikiII | No | 5.32 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual ceases to occupy the listed position for any period of time between February 12 and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of listed individual resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only announcements of resignations before the listed individuals scheduled term in that position is up will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-fire-in-first-100-days
| No |
| 3.61 |
| TOINDGS | No | 1.4 |
| split | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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