Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 7.5%. Yes opened at 62% on 25 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 25 Jan 2025 to 20 Feb 2025, the highest close was 93.5% on 17 Feb 2025 and the lowest 44% on 29 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 88.5% on 5 Feb 2025. $71.79K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 21, 7:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 25 Jan 2025 – 20 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2025 | 62.0% |
| 20 Feb 2025 | 92.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| worldkoala | Yes | 300 |
| MosesElla | Yes | 6.22 |
| ClareSurrey | Yes | 3.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed senator votes to confirm Kash Patel in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If another individual is confirmed as FBI Director for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No.” If Patel is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the FBI Director without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No.” If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-senators-will-vote-to-confirm-kash-patel
| Yes |
| 2.98 |
| AgbfathaJulian | Yes | 2.32 |
| AlvaClarissa | Yes | 1.25 |
| DarthPaul | No | 0.02 |
| Szty1 | No | 0.02 |
| otencrtu | Yes | 0.02 |
| Kickstand8 | No | 0.02 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
