Analytics
Yes is at 49.5%, about where the market opened on 25 Aug 2026.
Across the 59 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 25 Aug 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 13 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49.5%; a month before, 49.5%.
It is one of 16 markets under “OBOS-ligaen (Norway): Team promoted to Norway Eliteserien (2026)”.
The order book holds $2.88, with a 97.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 21, 12:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 44%–56%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team achieves promotion from the OBOS-ligaen (Norway) to the Norway Eliteserien for the 2027 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Norway Eliteserien for the 2027 season through their final standing in the OBOS-ligaen (Norway), via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the OBOS-ligaen (Norway) and Norway Eliteserien. If the 2026 OBOS-ligaen (Norway) season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the OBOS-ligaen (Norway) and Norway Eliteserien. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/obos-ligaen-norway-team-promoted-to-norway-eliteserien-2026
4 more markets, none above 48.5%.
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