Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.2%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 4 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2023 to 25 Oct 2023, the highest close was 68% on 12 Oct 2023 and the lowest 1.8% on 25 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 56 points down, to 12.5% on 13 Oct 2023. $31.71K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 5:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 4 Oct 2023 – 25 Oct 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2023 | 65.5% |
| 25 Oct 2023 | 1.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wooz-964 | Yes | 367.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-speaker
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
