Will Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 25, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$6.6K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 25, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 25 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 17 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 17 Feb 2026 and the low 20% on 19 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 30.5% on 18 Feb 2026. $6.57K traded over the market's life.

16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 26, 4:25 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 17 Feb 2026 – 25 Feb 2026, chart shows 10%–60%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
17 Feb 2026	49.5%
25 Feb 2026	24.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
bjprolo	Yes	99.99
gilsa	Yes	80
t189	Yes	50
wurowl	Yes	36.61

10 of 16 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard

Rules

How this market was settled

Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-keir-starmer-say-at-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event-265

Dates