Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 80%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 243 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2025 to 16 May 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 86% on 12 May 2026 and the lowest 20% on 27 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 69% on 30 Nov 2025. $11.27K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 28, 5:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 243 points, 16 Aug 2025 – 16 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | 50.0% |
| 16 May 2026 | 80.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| laserjohnny | No | 1.37K |
| Spectrum | No | 103 |
| 26lkkdasdsa | No | 85.29 |
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by the Bundesliga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bundesliga-which-clubs-get-relegated
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| JanMarsalek23 | No | 80.48 |
| peepeepooppoop | No | 80 |
| Thuelser11 | Yes | 78.95 |
| Colala | No | 63.47 |
| Rapid Sphinx 6B9A | No | 37.31 |
| Blin1975 | No | 37.01 |
| Neat-Robot | No | 28.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
