Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 78% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 4 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.9% on 4 Aug 2026 and the lowest 44.5% on 24 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 62.5% on 2 Aug 2026. $5.35K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 4 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 78.0% |
| 4 Aug 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ktmbo | No | 1K |
| twe2nty | No | 509.33 |
| RustyScissors | No | 200 |
| pepescrypto | No | 160.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Squid officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Squid (https://x.com/squidrouter), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-squid-launch-a-token-by
| KrauzeN | No | 100.01 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| Choroo | No | 78.2 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| Oklmntrader | No | 30 |
| mustanggtd | No | 27.4 |
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