Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 21 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 8% on 17 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 8% on 17 Aug 2026 and the low 1.1% on 18 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 1.1% on 18 Aug 2026. $283.59 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 22, 3:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Aug 2026 – 21 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | 8.0% |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AF02. | Yes | 21.05 |
| gotischeschlechti | Yes | 20 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 0.88 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 17 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-august-17-2026
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