Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 26 May 2026 to 30 Jun 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 27 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 29 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 21% on 31 May 2026. $23.5K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 26 May 2026 – 30 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| avrahta | Yes | 1.36K |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 300 |
| pp101 | Yes | 199.64 |
| predictgeek | Yes | 152 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-spy-hit-in-june-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| copy.trader | Yes | 125 |
| Limping-Jiffy | Yes | 100 |
| zezimadidnothingwrong | Yes | 70 |
| Asmodeus5 | Yes | 52.17 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 51 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 49.99 |
