Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 25 Jul 2026 and the low 0.4% on 30 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 7.5% on 26 Jul 2026. $1.19K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 2:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 31 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 49.5% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.27 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 20 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Weepy-Item | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of July 27 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-july-27-2026
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