Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 95.9% on 4 Aug 2026 and the low 50% on 26 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 95.9% on 4 Aug 2026. $3.46K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 29, 4:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 26 Jul 2026 – 4 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Aug 2026 | 95.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| vni1bk | No | 392.16 |
| Cinziacrypto | No | 230 |
| hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | No | 23.15 |
| Indigo Raven CBA5 | No | 19.54 |
| Celebrated-Howard | No | 5.1 |
| bjprolo | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in August 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-spy-hit-in-august-2026
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