Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 2 Jul 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 5% on 28 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 5% on 28 Jun 2026. $13.91K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 8:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 2 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 18.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Albert 1953 | Yes | 578 |
| Coral Comet 5B53 | Yes | 325.5 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 305 |
| mt2rules | Yes | 212.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of June 29 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-june-29-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| punani | Yes | 165 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Sergius24 | Yes | 9.99 |
| Fancy-Shawl | Yes | 6.25 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
