Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 34%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 68.5% on 7 Jul 2026 and the low 11.5% on 9 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 33.5% on 8 Jul 2026. $10.74K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 7:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 4 Jul 2026 – 10 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 34.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TrashGirl | No | 268.48 |
| PippiTrader | No | 212 |
| 196874353278 | No | 144.03 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 99.99 |
| VolokalnoS | No | 12.35 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| ROLBKEY | No | 5 |
| Lavincey | No | 4.29 |
| ssssss1223 | No | 3.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of July 6 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-july-6-2026
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